Dollar strength extends as Australian currency tests lower support
The pair broke 0.7150 support, closing at 0.71471 with a sharp 1.01% drop over 24 hours and -0.95% weekly decline. RSI sits at 32.5, indicating oversold conditions, while ATR of 0.0032 confirms elevated volatility. The 50-day moving average sits 1.13% above price, establishing clear downside pressure with lower high and range breakout patterns both showing 70% confidence.
A broad USD bid is driving the weakness, reflected in strong positive correlations with commodity-linked currencies: NZDUSD (0.91), AUDCAD (0.91), and EURUSD (0.86) all mirror the downtrend. The inverse -0.77 correlation with USDCHF highlights safe-haven demand. Realized volatility of 5.33% over 20 days remains elevated in a risk-off environment.
Watch 0.7140 as the next critical support level; a break would test 0.7100 psychological support. Upside resistance resides at 0.7180 and the 50-day average around 0.7230. US PPI inflation data due imminently carries high impact and could reinforce Fed strength expectations, keeping downside pressure intact unless data disappoints.