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BTCUSDT
Bitcoin / Tether
Crypto Market Open
79,049.56
-2.50% Updated 3 hours ago
Live data may be delayed (last refreshed 195.4419045 min ago).
AI ANALYST BRIEF
Neutral

Bitcoin slips below 50-day average as traders await PPI catalyst

Price trades at 79,089, down 2.45% on the day and 2.44% on the week, sitting 1.93% below the 50-day moving average. RSI at 47.3 reflects a neutral momentum stance, while ATR near 1,229 implies an average daily range that justifies wider stops. A recent 50-day crossover signal flagged bullish (confidence 51) is now being tested as the pullback retraces that breakout zone.

Realized 20-day volatility at 22.15% remains contained for crypto, suggesting orderly profit-taking rather than forced liquidation. The 0.93 correlation with Ether and 0.79-0.81 readings against XRP and Solana indicate the move is broad-based across majors, not idiosyncratic. Macro positioning is cautious into US PPI, with traders unwilling to add risk before fresh inflation prints reshape Fed expectations.

Initial support sits at the 50-day proxy near 80,650, with deeper bids likely toward 77,800 (roughly one ATR below spot). Reclaiming 80,300 would neutralize the breakdown and re-engage the prior bullish crossover thesis. The immediate catalyst is today's US PPI release at 12:30 UTC, a high-impact print that will steer dollar and rate expectations and, by extension, crypto risk appetite.

Price · Candlestick

Key Levels

Resistance · current · support
79,100.00 Round figure 40%
79,514.27 Fib 78.6% 50%
80,088.31 Fib 61.8% 50%
80,491.52 Fib 50.0% 50%
79,049.56 Current price ·
79,000.00 Round figure 40%
78,591.99 Prev month low 85%
64,938.66 52-week low 95%

Pattern Read

Rule-based · last 60 sessions
50-day MA bearish crossover 50% confidence
Price recently crossed below the 50-day moving average — short-term trend rolling over.

Correlations Today

30-day window · top 5 by strength
ETHUSDT
+0.93
XRPUSDT
+0.81
SOLUSDT
+0.79
BNBUSDT
+0.78
DOGEUSDT
+0.62

Statistical Snapshot

RSI (14d)
48.80
Neutral
ATR (14d)
1,211.6
Average true range (14d)
Realized vol (20d)
21.84%
Above average
50-day MA dist
-1.93%
Trading below 50-day MA
Weekly change
-1.73%
Change over last 5 sessions
Monthly change
-2.70%
Change over last 20 sessions

Catalysts · Next 7 Days

High + medium impact events
HIGH Tue · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer-level inflation data influences rate expectations; a hotter print would elevate pressure on the Fed and steepen the yield curve.
HIGH Wed · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer price inflation trends would inform expectations for downstream consumer price pressures and potential Fed policy adjustments.
MEDIUM Thu · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly jobless claims offer near-real-time labor market pulse; elevated readings would add to recession anxiety amid already-tight financial conditions.

Smart Suggestions

From cross-asset correlations
ETHUSDT corr +0.93
Tracks BTCUSDT closely (r=+0.93) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
XRPUSDT corr +0.81
Strong directional link with BTCUSDT (r=+0.81) — confirms macro thesis across the pair.
SOLUSDT corr +0.79
Strong directional link with BTCUSDT (r=+0.79) — confirms macro thesis across the pair.
24h High
81,650.00
24h Low
78,591.99
24h Change
-2.50%
24h Volume
Quote Details Last update: 2026-05-15T23:16:33+00:00
Bid
79,045.61
Ask
79,053.51
Spread
7.9050
24h Open
81,078.04
Mid
79,049.56
Provider Symbol
BTC/USD
Spread shown is an indicative inter-bank reference — actual broker spreads vary by venue and account type.
Instrument Specs
SymbolBTCUSDT
Base / QuoteBTC / USDT
Contract Size1 BTC
Tick Size0.01
Pip Value (USD)$1.0000
Trading Hours 00:00 – 23:59 UTC · Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Sentiment · 24h via Fiper Terminal
BTCUSDT +0.217 · 10 articles
Sentiment derived from news articles over the last 24 hours.
News · BTCUSDT 0 articles · last 7 days
No news coverage for BTC in the last 7 days.