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AU
AUDUSD
Australian Dollar / US Dollar
Forex Major Market Closed
0.71477
+0.01% Updated 4 hours ago
Live data may be delayed (last refreshed 246.20547296667 min ago).
AI ANALYST BRIEF
Bearish

Dollar strength extends as Australian currency tests lower support

The pair broke 0.7150 support, closing at 0.71471 with a sharp 1.01% drop over 24 hours and -0.95% weekly decline. RSI sits at 32.5, indicating oversold conditions, while ATR of 0.0032 confirms elevated volatility. The 50-day moving average sits 1.13% above price, establishing clear downside pressure with lower high and range breakout patterns both showing 70% confidence.

A broad USD bid is driving the weakness, reflected in strong positive correlations with commodity-linked currencies: NZDUSD (0.91), AUDCAD (0.91), and EURUSD (0.86) all mirror the downtrend. The inverse -0.77 correlation with USDCHF highlights safe-haven demand. Realized volatility of 5.33% over 20 days remains elevated in a risk-off environment.

Watch 0.7140 as the next critical support level; a break would test 0.7100 psychological support. Upside resistance resides at 0.7180 and the 50-day average around 0.7230. US PPI inflation data due imminently carries high impact and could reinforce Fed strength expectations, keeping downside pressure intact unless data disappoints.

Price · Candlestick

Key Levels

Resistance · current · support
0.7152 24h high 55%
0.7171 Fib 78.6% 50%
0.7191 Fib 61.8% 50%
0.7204 Fib 50.0% 50%
0.7148 Current price ·
0.7141 Prev month low 85%
0.7100 Round figure 40%
0.6835 52-week low 95%

Pattern Read

Rule-based · last 60 sessions
Lower highs sequence 70% confidence
Three or more progressively lower highs over the last 20 sessions — sellers stepping in at lower levels.

Correlations Today

30-day window · top 5 by strength
NZDUSD
+0.91
AUDCAD
+0.91
EURUSD
+0.86
GBPUSD
+0.85
USDCHF
-0.77

Statistical Snapshot

RSI (14d)
27.00
Oversold territory
ATR (14d)
0.00
Average true range (14d)
Realized vol (20d)
5.31%
Below average
50-day MA dist
-1.13%
Trading below 50-day MA
Weekly change
-0.49%
Change over last 5 sessions
Monthly change
-1.23%
Change over last 20 sessions

Catalysts · Next 7 Days

High + medium impact events
HIGH Tue · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer-level inflation data influences rate expectations; a hotter print would elevate pressure on the Fed and steepen the yield curve.
HIGH Wed · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer price inflation trends would inform expectations for downstream consumer price pressures and potential Fed policy adjustments.
MEDIUM Thu · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly jobless claims offer near-real-time labor market pulse; elevated readings would add to recession anxiety amid already-tight financial conditions.

Smart Suggestions

From cross-asset correlations
NZDUSD corr +0.91
Tracks AUDUSD closely (r=+0.91) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
AUDCAD corr +0.91
Tracks AUDUSD closely (r=+0.91) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
EURUSD corr +0.86
Tracks AUDUSD closely (r=+0.86) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
24h High
0.71522
24h Low
0.71460
24h Change
+0.01%
24h Volume
Quote Details Last update: 2026-05-16T00:12:32+00:00
Bid
0.71470
Ask
0.71485
Spread
0.0001500
Trades 24h
24h Open
0.71473
Volume (base)
Mid
0.71477
Provider Symbol
AUD/USD
Spread shown is an indicative inter-bank reference — actual broker spreads vary by venue and account type.
Instrument Specs
SymbolAUDUSD
Base / QuoteAUD / USD
Contract Size100,000 AUD
Tick Size0.00001
Pip Value (USD)$10.0000
Trading Hours 23:01 – 22:59 UTC · Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Sentiment · 24h via Fiper Terminal
AUDUSD +0.096 · 4 articles
Sentiment derived from news articles over the last 24 hours.
News · AUDUSD 0 articles · last 7 days
No news coverage for AUD in the last 7 days.