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AS
ASX 200
AUS200
Indices Market Closed
28.11
+0.50% Updated 1 month ago
AI analysis last refreshed 1 month ago — quotes update independently.
AI ANALYST BRIEF
Bearish

ASX 200 Slides 1.9% as Oversold Signals Flash

The index traded at 28.72, down 1.91% over 24 hours and mirroring a weekly decline of 1.9%. RSI at 24.2 indicates deeply oversold conditions, while the price sits 1.91% below the 50-day moving average. A range breakout down pattern registered 70% confidence, confirming bearish technical structure despite the oversold reading.

European indices show strong correlation with the ASX 200: CAC 40 (0.8924), DAX 40 (0.8773), and FTSE 100 (0.8581) all tracking in tandem over the past 39 days. The US Dollar Index exhibits a -0.8339 inverse correlation, suggesting currency strength may be pressuring commodity-linked equities. Dow Jones (0.7967 correlation) also reinforces broad-market weakness.

Key support lies near the current 50-day moving average, with ATR at 0.24 defining near-term volatility. US Retail Sales—a high-impact catalyst—headlines the overnight session and could reignite risk-off flows or stabilize sentiment. A miss risks further downside, while a beat may attract dollar-driven buying pressure.

Price · Candlestick

Key Levels

Resistance · current · support
28.13 Prev week high 70%
28.22 Fib 78.6% 50%
28.49 Fib 61.8% 50%
28.65 50-day moving average 60%
28.11 Current price ·
28.00 Round figure 40%
27.90 24h low 55%
27.81 Prev month low 85%

Pattern Read

Rule-based · last 60 sessions
Higher lows sequence 70% confidence
Three or more progressively higher lows over the last 20 sessions — buyers willing to step in earlier.
Range compression — ATR compressed 35% confidence
14-day ATR has compressed to 0.65× its 60-day baseline — coiled spring conditions often precede a directional move.

Correlations Today

Cross-asset · 30-day daily-return Pearson · refreshes every 4 hours
FRA40
+0.89
GER40
+0.88
UK100
+0.86
DXY
-0.83
US30
+0.80

Statistical Snapshot

RSI (14d)
29.70
Oversold territory
ATR (14d)
0.17
Average true range (14d)
Realized vol (20d)
11.81%
Below average
50-day MA dist
-1.90%
Trading below 50-day MA
Weekly change
0.38%
Change over last 5 sessions
Monthly change
-3.87%
Change over last 20 sessions

Catalysts · Next 7 Days

High + medium impact events
No major catalysts identified in the next 7 days.

Smart Suggestions

From cross-asset correlations
FRA40 corr +0.89
Tracks AUS200 closely (r=+0.89) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
GER40 corr +0.88
Tracks AUS200 closely (r=+0.88) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
UK100 corr +0.86
Tracks AUS200 closely (r=+0.86) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
24h High
28.13
24h Low
27.90
24h Change
+0.50%
24h Volume
$46.7M
Quote Details Last update: 2026-06-30T04:52:36+00:00
Bid
27.86
Ask
28.36
Spread
0.5000
Trades 24h
24h Open
28.12
Volume (base)
1.66M
Mid
28.11
Provider Symbol
EWA
Spread shown is an indicative inter-bank reference — actual broker spreads vary by venue and account type.
Instrument Specs
SymbolAUS200
Base / Quote / USD
Contract Size1 contract
Tick Size0.01
Pip Value (USD)$1.0000
Trading Hours 14:30 – 21:00 UTC · Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Sentiment · 24h via Fiper Terminal
AUS200 -0.177 · 1 article
Sentiment derived from news articles over the last 24 hours.
News · AUS200 0 articles · last 7 days
No news coverage for AXJO in the last 7 days.