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CA
FRA40
CAC 40
Indices Market Closed
44.16
-1.93% Updated 4 hours ago
Live data may be delayed (last refreshed 247.94428866667 min ago).
AI ANALYST BRIEF
Bearish

French Index Breaks Lower on Technical Weakness, Momentum Fades

The index declined 1.95% over the past 24 hours to 44.15, trading 2.54% below its 50-day moving average. RSI stands at an oversold 16.9, while realized volatility over 20 days measures 11.7%. A range breakout down pattern with 70% confidence signals continued downside pressure, with volume divergence reinforcing bearish sentiment at 58% confidence.

European indices remain tightly correlated, with the DAX showing 0.9664 correlation and FTSE 100 at 0.9233, suggesting synchronized weakness across the region. Global equities follow suit, with Nikkei and Dow Jones correlations at 0.8853 and 0.864 respectively. This broad-based selloff reflects systemic risk appetite deterioration rather than index-specific factors.

Watch for support near 44.00, with the next meaningful level at the weekly low. US PPI data due imminently poses a high-impact catalyst; softer inflation could stabilize risk assets, while surprises may extend the current downtrend. The 0.3438 ATR indicates modest daily movement potential ahead of this event.

Price · Candlestick

Key Levels

Resistance · current · support
44.39 Fib 78.6% 50%
44.46 24h high 55%
44.90 Fib 61.8% 50%
45.00 Round figure 40%
44.16 Current price ·
44.09 Prev week low 70%
44.03 Prev month low 85%

Pattern Read

Rule-based · last 60 sessions
20-day range breakdown 70% confidence
Price has broken below its prior 20-day low — momentum continuation to the downside.
Volume divergence 63% confidence
Down sessions are trading on heavier volume than up sessions — distribution signal.
Range compression — ATR compressed 24% confidence
14-day ATR has compressed to 0.76× its 60-day baseline — coiled spring conditions often precede a directional move.

Correlations Today

30-day window · top 5 by strength
GER40
+0.97
UK100
+0.92
AUS200
+0.90
JP225
+0.89
US30
+0.86

Statistical Snapshot

RSI (14d)
14.30
Oversold territory
ATR (14d)
0.34
Average true range (14d)
Realized vol (20d)
11.10%
Below average
50-day MA dist
-2.47%
Trading below 50-day MA
Weekly change
-2.20%
Change over last 5 sessions
Monthly change
-5.52%
Change over last 20 sessions

Catalysts · Next 7 Days

High + medium impact events
HIGH Tue · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer-level inflation data influences rate expectations; a hotter print would elevate pressure on the Fed and steepen the yield curve.
HIGH Wed · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer price inflation trends would inform expectations for downstream consumer price pressures and potential Fed policy adjustments.
MEDIUM Thu · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly jobless claims offer near-real-time labor market pulse; elevated readings would add to recession anxiety amid already-tight financial conditions.

Smart Suggestions

From cross-asset correlations
GER40 corr +0.97
Tracks FRA40 closely (r=+0.97) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
UK100 corr +0.92
Tracks FRA40 closely (r=+0.92) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
AUS200 corr +0.90
Tracks FRA40 closely (r=+0.90) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
24h High
44.46
24h Low
44.09
24h Change
-1.93%
24h Volume
$8.6M
Quote Details Last update: 2026-05-16T00:13:48+00:00
Bid
43.91
Ask
44.41
Spread
0.5000
Trades 24h
24h Open
44.41
Volume (base)
Mid
44.16
Provider Symbol
EWQ
Spread shown is an indicative inter-bank reference — actual broker spreads vary by venue and account type.
Instrument Specs
SymbolFRA40
Base / Quote / USD
Contract Size1 contract
Tick Size0.01
Pip Value (USD)$1.0000
Trading Hours 14:30 – 21:00 UTC · Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Sentiment · 24h via Fiper Terminal
FRA40 Sentiment unavailable in last 48h
Sentiment derived from news articles over the last 24 hours.
News · FRA40 0 articles · last 7 days
No news coverage for CAC in the last 7 days.