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DA
GER40
DAX 40
Indices Market Closed
41.37
-2.08% Updated 4 hours ago
Live data may be delayed (last refreshed 247.7296635 min ago).
AI ANALYST BRIEF
Bearish

DAX breaks lower as oversold technicals signal deeper correction ahead

The index declined 2.06% over 24 hours to 41.38, breaking below its 50-day moving average by 2.08%. RSI at 24.6 indicates deeply oversold conditions, while 20-day realized volatility of 11.81% suggests elevated price swings. The range breakout down pattern shows 70% confidence, supported by volume divergence signals that reinforce bearish momentum.

European equity weakness aligns closely with broader risk-off sentiment across developed markets. CAC 40 correlation at 0.9664 and FTSE 100 at 0.9179 indicate synchronized downside pressure across continental bourses, while 0.88 correlation with the Dow Jones reflects transatlantic equity weakness. Weekly losses of 1.69% underscore a sustained bearish shift in risk appetite.

Support lies near the 40.80–41.00 band following the recent breakdown. Nearest resistance emerges around 42.10. US PPI data due shortly carries high impact and may trigger additional volatility; sustained weakness below 41.00 could extend losses toward 40.50. Watch for mean reversion attempts given extreme RSI levels, though technical damage remains pronounced.

Price · Candlestick

Key Levels

Resistance · current · support
41.60 24h high 55%
41.69 Fib 50.0% 50%
42.00 Round figure 40%
42.11 Fib 38.2% 50%
41.37 Current price ·
41.32 Prev month low 85%
41.26 Fib 61.8% 50%
41.00 Round figure 40%
40.66 Fib 78.6% 50%

Pattern Read

Rule-based · last 60 sessions
20-day range breakdown 70% confidence
Price has broken below its prior 20-day low — momentum continuation to the downside.
Volume divergence 62% confidence
Down sessions are trading on heavier volume than up sessions — distribution signal.
Range compression — ATR compressed 23% confidence
14-day ATR has compressed to 0.77× its 60-day baseline — coiled spring conditions often precede a directional move.

Correlations Today

30-day window · top 5 by strength
FRA40
+0.97
UK100
+0.92
JP225
+0.90
AUS200
+0.89
US30
+0.88

Statistical Snapshot

RSI (14d)
22.70
Oversold territory
ATR (14d)
0.33
Average true range (14d)
Realized vol (20d)
11.09%
Below average
50-day MA dist
-2.02%
Trading below 50-day MA
Weekly change
-1.86%
Change over last 5 sessions
Monthly change
-4.74%
Change over last 20 sessions

Catalysts · Next 7 Days

High + medium impact events
HIGH Tue · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer-level inflation data influences rate expectations; a hotter print would elevate pressure on the Fed and steepen the yield curve.
HIGH Wed · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer price inflation trends would inform expectations for downstream consumer price pressures and potential Fed policy adjustments.
MEDIUM Thu · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly jobless claims offer near-real-time labor market pulse; elevated readings would add to recession anxiety amid already-tight financial conditions.

Smart Suggestions

From cross-asset correlations
FRA40 corr +0.97
Tracks GER40 closely (r=+0.97) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
UK100 corr +0.92
Tracks GER40 closely (r=+0.92) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
JP225 corr +0.90
Tracks GER40 closely (r=+0.90) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
24h High
41.60
24h Low
41.33
24h Change
-2.08%
24h Volume
$36.5M
Quote Details Last update: 2026-05-16T00:12:59+00:00
Bid
41.12
Ask
41.62
Spread
0.5000
Trades 24h
24h Open
41.59
Volume (base)
Mid
41.37
Provider Symbol
EWG
Spread shown is an indicative inter-bank reference — actual broker spreads vary by venue and account type.
Instrument Specs
SymbolGER40
Base / Quote / USD
Contract Size1 contract
Tick Size0.01
Pip Value (USD)$1.0000
Trading Hours 14:30 – 21:00 UTC · Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Sentiment · 24h via Fiper Terminal
GER40 Sentiment unavailable in last 48h
Sentiment derived from news articles over the last 24 hours.
News · GER40 0 articles · last 7 days
No news coverage for DAX in the last 7 days.