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DA
DAX 40
GER40
Indices Market Closed
40.93
+0.74% Updated 1 month ago
AI analysis last refreshed 1 month ago — quotes update independently.
AI ANALYST BRIEF
Bearish

German DAX breaks down with RSI at oversold extreme

The DAX traded at 41.37, down 2.08% over 24 hours and 2.06% for the week, with RSI_14 deeply oversold at 26.7 signaling acute selling pressure. The index sits 1.94% below its 50-day moving average, confirming a established downtrend. A range breakout down pattern with 70% confidence suggests further downside momentum from current levels.

European equities are moving in tight correlation, with CAC 40 at 0.96 and FTSE 100 at 0.91 coefficients indicating synchronized weakness across the region. Broader global sentiment is deteriorating, with Dow Jones (0.89), Nikkei 225 (0.88), and ASX 200 (0.88) showing strong correlation to the decline, pointing to macro headwinds rather than Germany-specific factors. Realized volatility has expanded to 9.55% over 20 days, reflecting heightened market stress.

Watch 41.0 as near-term support with ATR_14 at 0.33 defining intraday range. US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC represents the immediate catalyst—a miss could accelerate equity liquidation, while a beat may stabilize momentum. Recovery requires a close above 42.0 and RSI above 35 to negate extreme oversold conditions.

Price · Candlestick

Key Levels

Resistance · current · support
40.95 24h high 55%
41.00 Round figure 40%
41.20 Fib 78.6% 50%
41.30 Prev week high 70%
40.93 Current price ·
40.60 24h low 55%
40.46 Prev week low 70%
40.35 Prev month low 85%
40.00 Round figure 40%

Pattern Read

Rule-based · last 60 sessions
Lower highs sequence 70% confidence
Three or more progressively lower highs over the last 20 sessions — sellers stepping in at lower levels.
Volume divergence 34% confidence
Down sessions are trading on heavier volume than up sessions — distribution signal.
Range compression — ATR compressed 19% confidence
14-day ATR has compressed to 0.81× its 60-day baseline — coiled spring conditions often precede a directional move.

Correlations Today

Cross-asset · 30-day daily-return Pearson · refreshes every 4 hours
FRA40
+0.96
UK100
+0.91
US30
+0.89
JP225
+0.88
AUS200
+0.88

Statistical Snapshot

RSI (14d)
42.40
Neutral, leaning weak
ATR (14d)
0.30
Average true range (14d)
Realized vol (20d)
10.72%
Below average
50-day MA dist
-3.02%
Trading below 50-day MA
Weekly change
-0.51%
Change over last 5 sessions
Monthly change
-3.31%
Change over last 20 sessions

Catalysts · Next 7 Days

High + medium impact events
No major catalysts identified in the next 7 days.

Smart Suggestions

From cross-asset correlations
FRA40 corr +0.96
Tracks GER40 closely (r=+0.96) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
UK100 corr +0.91
Tracks GER40 closely (r=+0.91) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
US30 corr +0.89
Tracks GER40 closely (r=+0.89) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
24h High
40.95
24h Low
40.60
24h Change
+0.74%
24h Volume
$14.2M
Quote Details Last update: 2026-06-30T06:24:03+00:00
Bid
40.68
Ask
41.18
Spread
0.5000
Trades 24h
24h Open
40.81
Volume (base)
347.3K
Mid
40.93
Provider Symbol
EWG
Spread shown is an indicative inter-bank reference — actual broker spreads vary by venue and account type.
Instrument Specs
SymbolGER40
Base / Quote / USD
Contract Size1 contract
Tick Size0.01
Pip Value (USD)$1.0000
Trading Hours 14:30 – 21:00 UTC · Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Sentiment · 24h via Fiper Terminal
GER40 Sentiment unavailable in last 48h
Sentiment derived from news articles over the last 24 hours.
News · GER40 0 articles · last 7 days
No news coverage for DAX in the last 7 days.