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Ni
Nikkei 225
JP225
Indices Market Closed
93.21
+0.44% Updated 1 month ago
AI analysis last refreshed 1 month ago — quotes update independently.
AI ANALYST BRIEF
Lean Bearish

Nikkei slips as oversold technicals signal consolidation risk

The index declined 1.08% over 24 hours to 91.07, with RSI at 37.5 indicating oversold conditions and recent realized volatility of 8.76% suggesting elevated price swings. The index trades 1.3% above its 50-day moving average, supported by technical floor but vulnerable to further weakness given the volume divergence pattern flagged at 24% confidence.

Strong correlation with European and US equity indices (0.89 with FTSE, 0.88 with DAX, 0.81 with S&P 500) leaves the Nikkei exposed to broader risk-off sentiment in developed markets. This week's 1.07% decline mirrors synchronized weakness across major global bourses, reducing isolation from international macro headwinds.

Key technical levels: immediate support near 90.4 (recent swing low support); resistance at 92.5 and the 50-DMA at 91.75. US Retail Sales data due imminently carries high impact potential to reignite volatility; a significant miss could accelerate equity weakness globally, while an upside surprise may stabilize risk appetite and support recovery toward 92.80.

Price · Candlestick

Key Levels

Resistance · current · support
93.24 24h high 55%
94.08 Fib 38.2% 50%
94.24 Prev week high 70%
95.21 Fib 23.6% 50%
93.21 Current price ·
93.06 50-day moving average 60%
92.25 Fib 61.8% 50%
91.71 Prev week low 70%
90.95 Fib 78.6% 50%

Pattern Read

Rule-based · last 60 sessions
Higher lows sequence 80% confidence
Three or more progressively higher lows over the last 20 sessions — buyers willing to step in earlier.
50-day MA bearish crossover 50% confidence
Price recently crossed below the 50-day moving average — short-term trend rolling over.

Correlations Today

Cross-asset · 30-day daily-return Pearson · refreshes every 4 hours
UK100
+0.89
GER40
+0.88
FRA40
+0.87
US500
+0.81
US30
+0.81

Statistical Snapshot

RSI (14d)
43.80
Neutral, leaning weak
ATR (14d)
1.13
Average true range (14d)
Realized vol (20d)
19.85%
Below average
50-day MA dist
0.16%
Trading above 50-day MA
Weekly change
-0.38%
Change over last 5 sessions
Monthly change
0.51%
Change over last 20 sessions

Catalysts · Next 7 Days

High + medium impact events
No major catalysts identified in the next 7 days.

Smart Suggestions

From cross-asset correlations
UK100 corr +0.89
Tracks JP225 closely (r=+0.89) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
GER40 corr +0.88
Tracks JP225 closely (r=+0.88) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
FRA40 corr +0.87
Tracks JP225 closely (r=+0.87) — consider for parallel exposure when sizing the same thesis.
24h High
93.24
24h Low
91.71
24h Change
+0.44%
24h Volume
$569.5M
Quote Details Last update: 2026-06-30T06:33:18+00:00
Bid
92.96
Ask
93.46
Spread
0.5000
Trades 24h
24h Open
92.62
Volume (base)
6.11M
Mid
93.21
Provider Symbol
EWJ
Spread shown is an indicative inter-bank reference — actual broker spreads vary by venue and account type.
Instrument Specs
SymbolJP225
Base / Quote / USD
Contract Size1 contract
Tick Size0.01
Pip Value (USD)$1.0000
Trading Hours 14:30 – 21:00 UTC · Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Sentiment · 24h via Fiper Terminal
JP225 +0.491 · 2 articles
Sentiment derived from news articles over the last 24 hours.
News · JP225 0 articles · last 7 days
No news coverage for N225 in the last 7 days.