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Na
NATGAS
Natural Gas
Commodities Market Closed
8.13
-8.55% Updated 4 hours ago
Live data may be delayed (last refreshed 248.55252016667 min ago).
AI ANALYST BRIEF
Bearish

Natural Gas Plunges 8.5% as MA50 Crossover Confirms Weakness

Natural Gas broke below 8.13, down 8.55% in 24 hours with a bearish MA50 crossover pattern at 87% confidence. The RSI(14) at 38 signals oversold conditions, while price sits 7.33% below its 50-day moving average, confirming downtrend momentum. Weekly losses of 11.79% underscore sustained selling pressure despite elevated volatility at 49.07% realized vol.

The commodity shows strong positive correlation with European equities (UK100: 0.72, CAC40: 0.71) and Asian indices (JP225: 0.67), signaling broad risk-off sentiment across major markets. Conversely, the -0.67 correlation with the US Dollar Index reflects typical inverse energy-commodity dynamics, with a stronger dollar headwind pressuring natural gas valuations. Cross-asset weakness suggests institutional rotation away from risk-sensitive assets.

Critical support lies near 7.75 (previous week's low), with ATR(14) at 0.38 defining near-term volatility bands. US PPI data (high impact catalyst) arrives imminently and could reignite inflation concerns, potentially stabilizing energy demand expectations. Watch for reversal signals if RSI breaks above 50 or price reclaims the 50-day moving average at 8.76 for trend confirmation.

Price · Candlestick

Key Levels

Resistance · current · support
8.2000 Round figure 40%
8.4150 24h high 55%
8.4720 Fib 78.6% 50%
8.6395 50-day moving average 60%
8.1300 Current price ·
8.1000 Round figure 40%
8.0250 Prev week low 70%
7.7600 Prev month low 85%

Pattern Read

Rule-based · last 60 sessions
50-day MA bearish crossover 77% confidence
Price recently crossed below the 50-day moving average — short-term trend rolling over.
20-day range breakdown 70% confidence
Price has broken below its prior 20-day low — momentum continuation to the downside.
Volume divergence 48% confidence
Down sessions are trading on heavier volume than up sessions — distribution signal.

Correlations Today

30-day window · top 5 by strength
UK100
+0.72
FRA40
+0.71
AUS200
+0.69
DXY
-0.67
JP225
+0.67

Statistical Snapshot

RSI (14d)
36.40
Neutral, leaning weak
ATR (14d)
0.38
Average true range (14d)
Realized vol (20d)
43.97%
Above average
50-day MA dist
-5.90%
Trading below 50-day MA
Weekly change
-10.36%
Change over last 5 sessions
Monthly change
-9.97%
Change over last 20 sessions

Catalysts · Next 7 Days

High + medium impact events
HIGH Tue · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer-level inflation data influences rate expectations; a hotter print would elevate pressure on the Fed and steepen the yield curve.
HIGH Wed · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer price inflation trends would inform expectations for downstream consumer price pressures and potential Fed policy adjustments.
MEDIUM Thu · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly jobless claims offer near-real-time labor market pulse; elevated readings would add to recession anxiety amid already-tight financial conditions.

Smart Suggestions

From cross-asset correlations
UK100 corr +0.72
Strong directional link with NATGAS (r=+0.72) — confirms macro thesis across the pair.
FRA40 corr +0.71
Strong directional link with NATGAS (r=+0.71) — confirms macro thesis across the pair.
24h High
8.42
24h Low
8.03
24h Change
-8.55%
24h Volume
$17.4M
Quote Details Last update: 2026-05-16T00:15:49+00:00
Bid
8.13
Ask
8.14
Spread
0.0100
Trades 24h
24h Open
8.38
Volume (base)
2.14M@elseif($v >= 1e3)2,136.2K@else2,136,159.00
Mid
8.13
Provider Symbol
NG
Spread shown is an indicative inter-bank reference — actual broker spreads vary by venue and account type.
Instrument Specs
SymbolNATGAS
Base / Quote / USD
Contract SizeVaries by product
Tick Size0.01
Pip Value (USD)$1.0000
Trading Hours 23:01 – 22:00 UTC · Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Sentiment · 24h via Fiper Terminal
NATGAS +0.357 · 7 articles
Sentiment derived from news articles over the last 24 hours.
News · NATGAS 0 articles · last 7 days
No news coverage for NG in the last 7 days.