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AI ANALYST BRIEF
Lean Bearish
Treasury Yields Tumble as Bond Proxy Breaks Range to Downside
The 10-Year Treasury Yield proxy slid 0.79% to 93.52, extending a 0.87% weekly decline and trading 1.36% below its 50-day moving average. RSI at 15.1 signals deeply oversold conditions, yet a confirmed range_breakout_down pattern (70% confidence) and bearish volume divergence reinforce downside momentum. ATR of 0.2458 against 3.29% realized vol points to controlled but persistent selling pressure.
Strong positive correlations with global equities — DAX (0.71), FTSE (0.69), CAC (0.69) and ASX (0.68) — suggest the yield decline is moving in tandem with a broader risk-asset rotation, consistent with growth-and-inflation repricing rather than pure flight-to-quality. The 0.60 link to the Nikkei reinforces the synchronized macro tone. Sentiment readings tilt mildly bullish (0.43) but on thin coverage, limiting signal weight.
Immediate support sits near 93.30 with deeper risk toward 92.80 should the breakout extend; reclaiming 94.20 would neutralize the bearish setup, and a move back above the 50-DMA near 94.80 is needed to flip bias. With no scheduled catalyst on the radar, focus shifts to upcoming Treasury auctions and Fed commentary for the next directional cue.
— By Fiper AI · Updated automatically every hour · Skip to chart ↓
Price · Candlestick
Key Levels
Resistance · current · support
93.7524h high55%
94.04Fib 78.6%50%
94.45Fib 61.8%50%
94.56Prev week high70%
93.51Current price·
93.49Prev month low85%
93.00Round figure40%
Pattern Read
Rule-based · last 60 sessions
20-day range breakdown70% confidence
Price has broken below its prior 20-day low — momentum continuation to the downside.
Volume divergence66% confidence
Down sessions are trading on heavier volume than up sessions — distribution signal.
Correlations Today
30-day window · top 5 by strength
GER40
+0.71
UK100
+0.69
FRA40
+0.69
AUS200
+0.68
JP225
+0.60
Statistical Snapshot
Technical indicators · plain language
RSI (14d)
15.30
Oversold territory
ATR (14d)
0.25
Average true range (14d)
Realized vol (20d)
3.29%
Below average
50-day MA dist
-1.34%
Trading below 50-day MA
Weekly change
-0.84%
Change over last 5 sessions
Monthly change
-1.53%
Change over last 20 sessions
Catalysts · Next 7 Days
High + medium impact events
HIGHTue · 12:30 UTC (0h)
US PPI
Producer-level inflation data influences rate expectations; a hotter print would elevate pressure on the Fed and steepen the yield curve.